Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
74%No change
- No change74%▼ 10
- 25 bps increase25%▲ 9
- 50+ bps increase<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
The odds
77%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate77%
- Cut 25bps11%
- Hike 25bps4%
- Cut more than 50bps2%
- Cut 50bps2%
- Hike 50bps2%
- Hike more than 50bps2%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 77% on Oct 13, 77% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 77% | 78¢ | 86¢ | 161 | |
| Cut 25bps | 11% | 8¢ | 16¢ | 223 | |
| Hike 25bps | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | 499 | |
| Cut more than 50bps | 2% | 4¢ | 75.00 | ||
| Cut 50bps | 2% | 4¢ | 103 | ||
| Hike 50bps | 2% | 4¢ | 246 | ||
| Hike more than 50bps | 2% | 4¢ | 133 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Swiss National Bank rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting)
77%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate77%▼ 19
- Hike 1-25bps20%▲ 13
- Cut more than 25bps1%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
57%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase57%▲ 1
- No change38%▲ 7
- 50+ bps increase3%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease1%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
79%No change
- No change79%▲ 11
- 25 bps increase17%▼ 8
- 50+ bps increase3%▼ 1
- 25 bps decrease1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Reserve Bank of India decision in December
63%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase63%▼ 6
- No Change21%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase12%▲ 1
- 25 bps decrease3%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease1%
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November (Nov 5, 2026 meeting)
74%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate74%▲ 6
- Cut 25bps16%▼ 3
- Hike 25bps4%▼ 1
- Hike 50bps3%
3 more
- Hike more than 50bps2%
- Cut more than 50bps<1%
- Cut 50bps<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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