Bank of Mexico rate decision in November (Nov 5, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Closes Nov 5 · 34.9K contracts · prices read 71 min ago

The odds

74%Maintain current rate
  • Maintain current rate74%▲ 4
  • Cut 25bps16%▼ 16
  • Hike 25bps4%▼ 1
  • Hike 50bps3%
  • Hike more than 50bps2%
  • Cut more than 50bps<1%
  • Cut 50bps<1%

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 74% on Oct 13, 74% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Maintain current rate 74% ▲ 4 75¢ 79¢ 7.0K
Cut 25bps 16% ▼ 16 14¢ 19¢ 4.8K
Hike 25bps 4% ▼ 1 2¢ 7¢ 4.1K
Hike 50bps 3% 6¢ 5.5K
Hike more than 50bps 2% 24¢ 3.3K
Cut more than 50bps <1% 1¢ 5.7K
Cut 50bps <1% 1¢ 4.5K

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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