The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 (comparable restaurant sales in Q3 2026)

Kalshi Closes Feb 23, 2027 · 160.6K contracts · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

8.43%median

3%11%

Median 8.43%Middle half 7.26% – 9.44%

How the odds have moved

Median: 8.39% on Oct 13, 8.43% now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Above 3.5%	99%		98¢	99¢	32.7K
Above 4%	99%		98¢	99¢	33.5K
Above 4.5%	96%	▼ 1	95¢	96¢	15.9K
Above 5%	95%		94¢	95¢	11.7K
Above 5.5%	91%	▲ 1	89¢	92¢	22.6K
Above 6%	91%	▲ 1	89¢	92¢	13.8K
Above 6.5%	85%	▼ 2	83¢	87¢	7.8K
Above 7%	85%	▲ 1	83¢	86¢	8.3K
Above 7.5%	66%		65¢	67¢	3.1K
Above 8%	66%		62¢	69¢	4.6K
Above 8.5%	48%	▲ 2	44¢	51¢	3.2K
Above 9%	37%	▲ 12	34¢	40¢	3.5K
Above 9.5%	24%		20¢	27¢
Above 10%	16%		12¢	19¢
Above 10.5%	6%		5¢	6¢

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

Largest Company end of December 2026?

77%NVIDIA

NVIDIA77%▼ 8
Apple21%▲ 7
Alphabet2%
Microsoft<1%

4 more

SpaceX<1%
Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Amazon<1%

SPCX+0.52%TSLA−1.22%NVDA−1.29%MSFT+1.14%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

Reaches $1.5T93%
Reaches $1.75T82%
Reaches $2T69%
Reaches $2.5T47%

Falls to $800B3%
Falls to $700B3%
Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by

October 15, 2026<1%
October 31, 2026<1%
November 15, 20267%▲ 3
November 30, 202653%▼ 2

2 more

December 15, 202663%▲ 1
December 31, 202670%▼ 4

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T

$2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
$1.75–$2.0T23%▲ 7
$2.25–$2.5T21%▼ 2
$2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1

6 more

$1.5–$1.75T8%▲ 2
$1.25–$1.5T3%
$3.0T+3%
<$1.25T2%
No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 2
$2.75–$3.0T2%

Largest Company end of October 2026?

61%NVIDIA

NVIDIA61%▼ 5
Other33%
Apple5%▲ 4
Alphabet<1%

6 more

Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%
Microsoft<1%
Amazon<1%
SpaceX<1%

AAPL+1.29%AMZN−1.11%AVGO−1.88%GOOGL+0.30%

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

11%PayPal

PayPal11%▼ 1
Perplexity AI11%▼ 1
Viking Therapeutics10%▼ 4
MGM Resorts8%▼ 2

10 more

Zoom Video Communications6%
Brown-Forman6%▲ 1
GitLab5%
Snapchat5%
Lovable5%▼ 1
BP4%
Nebius Group2%
Ubisoft2%
Anthropic2%
OpenAI2%

BP+1.04%CZR+0.27%GTLB+1.67%NBIS−4.98%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFiscal.ai

Trading closesFeb 23, 2027 11:00 PM ET

Traded160.6K contracts

Prices read14 min ago

Followed sinceOct 12, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

What it is about

The Cheesecake Factory IncorporCAKE · about the company109.00+0.51%

Reading the odds

Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.

Every prediction market

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.