Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?
66%Stripe
- Stripe66%▲ 21
- American Express35%▼ 21
Install
American Express cards-in-force in Q3 (cards-in-force (total) in Q3 2026)
The odds
155.74Mmedian
154.00M159.50M
Median 155.74MMiddle half 155.43M – 156.05M
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 154.5 million | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | 10.4K | |
| Above 155 million | 91% | ▲ 2 | 90¢ | 91¢ | 7.8K |
| Above 155.5 million | 73% | ▲ 4 | 72¢ | 73¢ | 24.7K |
| Above 156 million | 27% | ▼ 1 | 26¢ | 27¢ | 18.0K |
| Above 156.5 million | 13% | ▲ 5 | 11¢ | 14¢ | 18.4K |
| Above 157 million | 4% | ▲ 2 | 3¢ | 4¢ | 20.7K |
| Above 157.5 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 16.6K | |
| Above 158 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 16.1K | |
| Above 158.5 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 24.9K | |
| Above 159 million | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 12.4K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above __?
$20.13Bmedian
$19.5B$21B
Median $20.13BMiddle half $19.86B – $20.46B
Largest Company end of December 2026?
80%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA80%▼ 5
- Apple17%▲ 3
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Anthropic IPO by __?
Nov 28, 2026even chance by
- October 15, 2026<1%
- October 31, 2026<1%
- November 15, 20266%▲ 2
- November 30, 202659%▲ 5
2 more
- December 15, 202667%▲ 5
- December 31, 202673%▲ 1
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
22%December 31, 2029
- December 31, 202710%
- December 31, 202819%
- December 31, 202922%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.