Airbnb bookings in Q3 (nights & experiences booked in Q3 2026)

Kalshi Closes Mar 5, 2027 · 3.5K contracts · prices read 68 min ago

The odds

148.11Mmedian
136.00M158.00M
Median 148.11MMiddle half 144.75M – 151.12M

How the odds have moved

Median: 148.11M on Oct 13, 148.11M now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 138 million 93% ▼ 1 90¢ 95¢ 420
Above 140 million 93% ▼ 2 90¢ 95¢ 410
Above 142 million 88% ▼ 1 83¢ 92¢ 50.00
Above 144 million 80% 75¢ 84¢ 363
Above 146 million 68% 63¢ 72¢ 1.0K
Above 148 million 51% ▲ 1 49¢ 53¢ 432
Above 150 million 32% ▲ 1 30¢ 34¢ 591
Above 152 million 20% 15¢ 24¢ 198
Above 154 million 11% 6¢ 15¢
Above 156 million 6% ▼ 1 2¢ 9¢

Related markets

All stocks & companies ›

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of October 12 2026?

$167.57high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $167.57 and as low as $159.57.

  • Reaches $16478%
  • Reaches $16656%
  • Reaches $16849%
  • Reaches $17040%
  • Falls to $16283%
  • Falls to $16053%
  • Falls to $15841%
  • Falls to $15632%

Already reached: ↑ $166, ↓ $164

ABNB−1.43%

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?

$172high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $172 and as low as $150.94.

  • Reaches $16472%
  • Reaches $16856%
  • Reaches $17250%
  • Reaches $17636%
  • Falls to $16085%
  • Falls to $15657%
  • Falls to $15257%
  • Falls to $14831%

Already reached: ↑ $164, ↑ $160, ↑ $156, ↑ $152, ↑ $160, ↑ $164

ABNB−1.43%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

$2.42Thigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.

  • Reaches $1.5T93%
  • Reaches $1.75T82%
  • Reaches $2T69%
  • Reaches $2.5T47%
  • Falls to $800B3%
  • Falls to $700B3%
  • Falls to $600B2%

Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 30, 2026even chance by
  • October 15, 2026<1%
  • October 31, 2026<1%
  • November 15, 20267%▲ 3
  • November 30, 202653%▼ 1
2 more
  • December 15, 202665%▲ 3
  • December 31, 202670%▼ 4

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

26%$2.0–$2.25T
  • $2.0–$2.25T26%▼ 3
  • $1.75–$2.0T23%▲ 7
  • $2.25–$2.5T20%▼ 2
  • $2.5–$2.75T9%▼ 1
6 more
  • $1.5–$1.75T9%▲ 2
  • $1.25–$1.5T4%▲ 1
  • $3.0T+3%
  • <$1.25T2%
  • No IPO by December 31, 20272%▼ 2
  • $2.75–$3.0T2%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.