October 31: 87% on Oct 13, 88% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $101.0K | ||
| September 30 | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $786.6K | |
| October 31 | 88% | ▲ 19 | 86¢ | 89¢ | $6.7K |
| November 30 | 93% | ▲ 11 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $4.7K |
| December 31 | 93% | ▲ 7 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $362.8K |
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $93,415.
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
Already reached: ↑ 2,750, ↑ 2,500, ↑ 2,250, ↑ 2,000, ↑ 1,750, ↑ 1,750
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $87,455 and as low as $79,489.
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.