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Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
The odds
76%Goldman Sachs
- Goldman Sachs76%
- Morgan Stanley22%
- JPMorgan<1%
- Bank of America<1%
- Citigroup<1%
- Barclays<1%
- UBS<1%
- Deutsche Bank<1%
- Wells Fargo<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 76% | 77¢ | 78¢ | $14.5K | |
| Morgan Stanley | 22% | 22¢ | 23¢ | $9.7K | |
| JPMorgan | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $4.3K | |
| Bank of America | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2.7K | |
| Citigroup | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2.9K | |
| Barclays | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $3.9K | |
| UBS | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $3.8K | |
| Deutsche Bank | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $9.3K | |
| Wells Fargo | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $3.4K |
Related markets
All stocks & companies › $1.35Bmedian
$1.1B$1.7B
Median $1.35B
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?
71%chance▲ 11
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
2%Bank of America
- RBC3%
- BNP Paribas3%
- Goldman Sachs3%
- Bank of America2%
15 more
- Truist3%
- US Bank3%
- BNY3%
- Wells Fargo3%
- KeyBank3%
- Morgan Stanley2%
- Citigroup2%
- Santander2%
- Deutsche Bank2%
- BMO2%
- JPMorgan Chase2%
- HSBC2%
- Scotiabank2%▼ 1
- Lloyds2%
- UBS1%
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
<1%Bank of America
- Morgan Stanley82%
- Goldman Sachs16%
- Citigroup1%
- Bank of America<1%
5 more
- Barclays1%
- Wells Fargo1%
- JPMorgan<1%
- UBS<1%
- Deutsche Bank<1%
Largest Company end of December 2026?
80%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA80%▼ 5
- Apple17%▲ 2
- Alphabet2%
- Microsoft<1%
4 more
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
$2.42Thigh with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2.42T.
- Reaches $1.5T93%
- Reaches $1.75T82%
- Reaches $2T69%
- Reaches $2.5T47%
- Falls to $800B3%
- Falls to $700B3%
- Falls to $600B2%
Already reached: ↑$1.25T, ↑$1.1T, ↑$1.0T
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.