Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $169.64 and as low as $140.31.
Already reached: ↑ $170, ↓ $160, ↓ $150, ↑ $160, ↑ $160, ↓ $160
Falls to $140: 51% on Oct 13, 49% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ ↑ $160 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $25.00 | |
| ✓ ↑ $160 | >99% | ▲ 49 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $80.00 |
| ↑ $160 | 77% | ▲ 24 | 69¢ | 85¢ | |
| ✓ ↑ $170 | >99% | ▲ 50 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $110 |
| ↑ $170 | 49% | ▼ 14 | 41¢ | 57¢ | |
| ↑ $180 | 31% | ▼ 11 | 22¢ | 38¢ | |
| ↑ $190 | 31% | ▼ 8 | 10¢ | 26¢ | |
| ↑ $200 | 31% | ▼ 5 | 3¢ | 18¢ | |
| ↑ $210 | 31% | ▲ 39 | 1¢ | 94¢ | |
| ↑ $220 | 31% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 84¢ | |
| ↑ $230 | 31% | ▼ 9 | 1¢ | 79¢ | $11.00 |
| ↓ $100 | 28% | 59¢ | $110 | ||
| ↓ $110 | 28% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 94¢ | |
| ↓ $120 | 28% | ▲ 2 | 3¢ | 19¢ | |
| ↓ $130 | 28% | ▲ 4 | 17¢ | 33¢ | |
| ↓ $140 | 49% | ▲ 8 | 41¢ | 57¢ | |
| ✓ ↓ $150 | >99% | ▲ 25 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $110 |
| ✓ ↓ $150 | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10.00 | |
| ↓ $150 | 82% | ▲ 13 | 73¢ | 90¢ | |
| ✓ ↓ $160 | >99% | ▲ 50 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $100 |
| ✓ ↓ $160 | >99% | ▲ 50 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $111 |
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $160.81 and as low as $147.46.
Already reached: ↑ $155
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $789.68 and as low as $686.32.
Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $740, ↓ $720, ↑ $740, ↑ $740, ↓ $740
Traders see as low as $718.
Already reached: ↑ $750, ↑ $740, ↑ $730, ↑ $720, ↓ $740
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.