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Tesla production in Q1 2027
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 433,152 on Oct 13, 433,152 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 325,000 | 96% | 92¢ | 83.00 | ||
| Above 350,000 | 89% | 85¢ | 93¢ | 280 | |
| Above 375,000 | 84% | 80¢ | 88¢ | ||
| Above 400,000 | 77% | 73¢ | 81¢ | 50.00 | |
| Above 425,000 | 57% | 53¢ | 62¢ | 209 | |
| Above 450,000 | 35% | 30¢ | 39¢ | ||
| Above 475,000 | 18% | 13¢ | 22¢ | ||
| Above 500,000 | 8% | 3¢ | 12¢ | ||
| Above 525,000 | 5% | 9¢ | 156 | ||
| Above 550,000 | 4% | 8¢ | |||
| Above 575,000 | 4% | 7¢ |
Related markets
All stocks & companies ›What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $385.39 and as low as $363.35.
- Reaches $382.5061%
- Reaches $39033%
- Reaches $397.5016%
- Reaches $4057%
- Falls to $37581%
- Falls to $367.5066%
- Falls to $36038%
- Falls to $352.5012%
Already reached: ↓ $382.50
Tesla (TSLA) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in October 2026?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $400.46 and as low as $349.62.
- Reaches $39077%
- Reaches $40539%
- Reaches $42023%
- Reaches $43511%
- Falls to $37568%
- Falls to $36068%
- Falls to $34542%
- Falls to $33023%
Already reached: ↓ $375, ↓ $360, ↑ $360, ↑ $375, ↓ $375, ↓ $375
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of October?
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.