Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027

Kalshi Closes Jul 31, 2027 · 20.6K contracts · prices read 36 min ago

The odds

430,000median
200,000600,000
Median 430,000Middle half 373,438 – 491,667

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Above 225000 98% 95¢
Above 250000 97% 94¢
Above 275000 97% 93¢
Above 300,000 95% 91¢ 98¢ 5.1K
Above 325,000 95% 91¢ 99¢ 595
Above 350,000 83% 78¢ 87¢ 2.1K
Above 375,000 75% ▲ 1 71¢ 78¢ 2.3K
Above 400,000 69% ▲ 1 65¢ 73¢ 1.3K
Above 425,000 53% 48¢ 57¢ 790
Above 450,000 40% ▲ 2 36¢ 44¢ 2.0K
Above 475,000 34% ▼ 16 31¢ 37¢ 4.2K
Above 500,000 21% 16¢ 25¢ 2.1K
Above 525,000 11% 6¢ 15¢
Above 550,000 7% 2¢ 11¢
Above 575,000 4% 8¢

Related markets

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What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 12 2026?

$386.60high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $386.60 and as low as $364.32.

  • Reaches $382.5068%
  • Reaches $39036%
  • Reaches $397.5018%
  • Reaches $4058%
  • Falls to $37592%
  • Falls to $367.5063%
  • Falls to $36033%
  • Falls to $352.5013%

Already reached: ↓ $382.50

PolymarketCloses Fri 4:00 PM ET · $12.1K traded

What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in October 2026?

$401high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $401 and as low as $349.66.

  • Reaches $39078%
  • Reaches $40540%
  • Reaches $42023%
  • Reaches $43511%
  • Falls to $37568%
  • Falls to $36068%
  • Falls to $34542%
  • Falls to $33022%

Already reached: ↓ $375, ↓ $360, ↑ $360, ↑ $375, ↓ $375, ↓ $375

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.