Fear & Greed Index on Oct 16, 2026?

Kalshi Closes Oct 23 · 19.5K contracts · prices read 35 min ago

The odds

43%Fear

Fear43%▼ 9
Neutral36%▲ 8
Greed14%▲ 1
Extreme Fear6%
Extreme Greed1%

How the odds have moved

Fear: 45% on Oct 13, 43% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Fear	43%	▼ 9	42¢	47¢	3.5K
Neutral	36%	▲ 8	36¢	38¢	4.1K
Greed	14%	▲ 1	13¢	15¢	2.8K
Extreme Fear	6%		6¢	7¢	8.3K
Extreme Greed	1%		1¢	2¢	719

Related markets

All indexes ›

Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

92%chance

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.13%IVV−0.04%SPY−0.06%

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

71%S&P 500

S&P 50071%
Bitcoin21%
Gold8%▼ 1

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.13%IVV−0.04%VOO−0.04%

How high will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)

8,092high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,092.

Reaches 8,00065%
Reaches 8,20032%
Reaches 8,40014%
Reaches 8,6007%

Already reached: 7,800 or above

^GSPC−0.06%ES=F−0.13%IVV−0.04%SPY−0.06%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,900median

3,8009,200

Median 7,900Middle half 7,528 – 8,141Above today's price 59%

^GSPC−0.06%VOO−0.04%ES=F−0.13%IVV−0.04%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

8,071high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,071 and as low as 7,341.

Reaches 8,00055%
Reaches 8,20041%
Reaches 8,6009%
Reaches 9,0005%

Falls to 7,40060%
Falls to 7,20026%
Falls to 7,00021%
Falls to 6,2009%

Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−0.06%SPY−0.06%IVV−0.04%ES=F−0.13%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

31,219median

18,50033,500

Median 31,219Middle half 29,226 – 32,963Above today's price 60%

^NDX−0.71%NQ=F−0.75%QQQ−0.70%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.