Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?

Polymarket Closes Fri 12:00 PM ET · $66.1K traded · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

$70,000$94,000
Median $82,852Middle half $80,898 – $84,927Above today's price 52%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
72,000 99% 99¢ 100¢ $805
74,000 99% 99¢ 99¢ $2.1K
76,000 98% ▼ 1 97¢ 98¢ $13.8K
78,000 95% ▼ 1 95¢ 95¢ $14.9K
80,000 86% ▼ 2 85¢ 87¢ $6.0K
82,000 62% ▼ 9 61¢ 62¢ $964
84,000 35% ▼ 12 33¢ 36¢ $517
86,000 14% ▼ 9 13¢ 15¢ $7.7K
88,000 5% ▼ 4 4¢ 5¢ $8.3K
90,000 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $10.4K
92,000 1% 1¢ 1¢ $500

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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