Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world? (On Dec 31, 2026)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 46.2K contracts · prices read 24 min ago

The odds

99%Elon Musk

Elon Musk99%▲ 1
Jeff Bezos91%
Larry Page83%
Mark Zuckerberg19%▲ 2
Sergey Brin10%
Jensen Huang6%
Larry Ellison6%
Warren Buffett3%
Steve Ballmer3%

How the odds have moved

Elon Musk: 99% on Oct 13, 99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
Elon Musk	99%	▲ 1	68¢	99¢	10.6K
Jeff Bezos	91%		88¢	94¢	4.9K
Larry Page	83%		82¢	83¢	13.0K
Mark Zuckerberg	19%	▲ 2	16¢	22¢	5.6K
Sergey Brin	10%		9¢	20¢	1.6K
Jensen Huang	6%		3¢	9¢	4.8K
Larry Ellison	6%		1¢	10¢	4.2K
Warren Buffett	3%			30¢	1.3K
Steve Ballmer	3%		1¢	29¢	158

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Conservative index. Terms of use.

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